Today, the Spanish press is all excited about a meeting between presidents Trump and Kim Jung-un. For reasons known to whom?, it is being supposed that the road is now clear for a denuclearized Korea. Such a state is very unlikely. First, Mr. Trump will surely demand major concessions on Mr. Kim’s part before getting into his jet plane. Secondly, Mr. Kim´s offer to discuss major pending issues is an old ploy with him. His attitude has always been one of neither yes nor no but totally to the contrary. China, of course, would be most pleased were an agreement between the USA and the two Koreas were to come about as it would lead to a reduction in the American military presence in the area. That would not be in our international interests as it would cement China´s hegonomy in the region. So let´s be realistic here. Mr. Kim could not survive within his own house were he to pull back from confrontation with the US. Mr Trump will not meet with him if the Korean dictator is unwilling to sacrifice factors that provoke confrontation. Again we find ourselves where we were which is neither yes, nor no but totally to the contrary.
Today, the Spanish press is all excited about a meeting between presidents Trump and Kim Jung-un. For reasons known to whom?, it is being supposed that the road is now clear for a denuclearized Korea. Such a state is very unlikely. First, Mr. Trump will surely demand major concessions on Mr. Kim’s part before getting into his jet plane. Secondly, Mr. Kim´s offer to discuss major pending issues is an old ploy with him. His attitude has always been one of neither yes nor no but totally to the contrary. China, of course, would be most pleased were an agreement between the USA and the two Koreas since it would lead to an eventual withdrawal of American forces from the regional. This would give China greater hegemony in that area.
So let´s be realistic here. Mr. Kim could not survive within his own house were he to pull back from confrontation with the US. Mr Trump will not meet with him if the Korean dictator is unwilling to sacrifice factors that provoke confrontation. Again we find ourselves where we were which is neither yes, nor no but totally to the contrary.
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